Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000536 0.000614 0.000697 0.000792 0.000897 0.001008 0.001137
2025-07-13 0.000426 0.000536 0.000661 0.000813 0.000992 0.001195 0.001441
2025-07-20 0.000365 0.000490 0.000638 0.000827 0.001058 0.001329 0.001668
2025-07-27 0.000310 0.000441 0.000604 0.000820 0.001093 0.001422 0.001847
2025-08-03 0.000265 0.000397 0.000570 0.000805 0.001112 0.001494 0.001997
2025-08-10 0.000236 0.000373 0.000556 0.000814 0.001160 0.001599 0.002189
2025-08-17 0.000210 0.000348 0.000539 0.000816 0.001195 0.001687 0.002361
2025-08-24 0.000180 0.000313 0.000504 0.000789 0.001190 0.001721 0.002461
2025-08-31 0.000154 0.000282 0.000473 0.000765 0.001185 0.001753 0.002558
2025-09-07 0.000138 0.000264 0.000458 0.000762 0.001209 0.001824 0.002708
2025-09-14 0.000125 0.000249 0.000446 0.000763 0.001237 0.001899 0.002864
2025-09-21 0.000111 0.000232 0.000429 0.000754 0.001251 0.001954 0.002994
2025-09-28 0.000097 0.000214 0.000410 0.000740 0.001256 0.001998 0.003109
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000209 0.000412 0.000762 0.001314 0.002119 0.003337
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000203 0.000410 0.000775 0.001360 0.002223 0.003542
2025-10-19 0.000076 0.000190 0.000397 0.000768 0.001374 0.002281 0.003682
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000176 0.000380 0.000754 0.001376 0.002320 0.003794
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000169 0.000376 0.000762 0.001414 0.002413 0.003987
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000161 0.000369 0.000764 0.001440 0.002488 0.004156
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000147 0.000347 0.000738 0.001421 0.002493 0.004218
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000133 0.000328 0.000715 0.001404 0.002501 0.004284
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000127 0.000320 0.000713 0.001422 0.002562 0.004433
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000121 0.000313 0.000713 0.001444 0.002632 0.004595